Don't worry about Bayern Munich

TruMedia’s Paul Carr makes his picks for the UEFA Champions League round of 16 first legs:

“Bayern Munich comes in on a relative skid, winless in two straight league games after drawing Arminia Bielefeld on the 15th and losing 2-1 at Eintracht Frankfurt on Saturday. However, Bayern outshot each opponent by over double digits, with 1.4 more expected goals than Arminia and 0.6 more than Eintracht.

Before those two stumbles, Bayern had won seven straight games in all competitions, outscoring opponents 15-2 with a similar edge in expected goals (16.5 to 6.4). Don't be worried about last week's results. Take advantage of the favorable shift in Bayern's odds (which were -170 before the weekend) and stick with the defending champion in this one.

Pick: Bayern win (-150)”

Full article: ESPN