Liverpool is controlling games

ESPN’s Ryan O’Hanlon uses TruMedia’s win-probability model in his article about how good Liverpool has been this season:

“TruMedia has a win-probability model that projects a team's likelihood of winning across an entire match; the probability changes based on time on the clock, the score, red cards, and a couple things (number of passes, a running expected-goals tally) that serve as a proxy for how well a team is playing at the moment. Liverpool's average win probability across every minute of every match is currently 65 percent -- better than last year and better than every other team in Europe's Big Five leagues this season.”

Full article: ESPN.com