ESPN’s Kieran Darcy uses TruMedia’s research tool and expected goals model to look at Liverpool’s win over Manchester City and to make Karl Toko Ekambi one of his weekly fantasy picks:

“In fact, Man City only outshot Liverpool 18-12, and topped them in terms of xG (expected goals) according to TruMedia's model by a slim 1.76-1.26. margin. Liverpool simply was the more clinical side in terms of finishing.”

“Ekambi is tied for sixth in the league in shots with 31. And he's second in the league in xG (expected goals), according to TruMedia's model, at 6.71. The only player ahead of him is Benzema at 7.91, and Benzema has played 145 more minutes than Ekambi.”

Full articles on ESPN.com: Premier League, La Liga

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ESPN’s Kieran Darcy uses TruMedia’s expected-goals model to warn fantasy players about Jamie Vardy’s hot start…

“Leicester's Jamie Vardy is the league leader in goals, with 10 in 11 games. That's pretty remarkable, given Vardy will turn 33 in January.

That being said, Vardy has scored those 10 goals on only 22 shots - so he's averaging just two shots per game. And in terms of xG (expected goals), according to TruMedia's model, Vardy is ranked only 17th in the league, at 4.17.”

Full article: ESPN.com

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ESPN’s Kieran Darcy uses TruMedia’s expected-goals model in support of choosing Neal Maupay for his fantasy team this week…

“This week, (Brighton’s Neal) Maupay will be at home against Norwich, who have conceded the second-most goals in the Premier League so far (24) and have the worst defensive record in the league in terms of xG (expected goals) conceded (according to TruMedia's model) at 23.57. Maupay will be my Tier 2 forward this week.”

Full article: ESPN.com

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ESPN’s Kieran Darcy uses TruMedia’s expected-goals model to temper fantasy expectations for Leicester City after the Foxes’ 9-0 win at Southampton on Friday…

“However, eight of those nine goals were scored after Southampton's Ryan Bertrand was sent off with a red card in the 12th minute. Leicester City's xG (expected goals) total, according to TruMedia's model, was only 4.90. While that's very high for a single game, it's still well below the total the team actually produced.”

Full article: ESPN.com

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ESPN’s Kieran Darcy uses TruMedia’s expected-goals model to recommend avoiding Manchester City’s defense against Aston Villa this weekend…

“I won't be going with Ederson as my goalkeeper, despite Man City being such heavy favorites. Aston Villa has scored 15 goals in nine games and only four teams have scored more. The underlying numbers back that up. Villa sits fourth in xG (expected goals) according to TruMedia's model at 16.59, behind only Man City (29.78), Chelsea (19.41) and Liverpool (19.17). Plus, Man City has been shakier at the back than usual so far this season, already conceding nine goals. The team is only fifth-best in the league in xG conceded at 11.29.”

Full article: ESPN.com

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TruMedia’s expected-goals model helps guide fantasy decisions in these ESPN.com articles:

Premier League: “Raheem Sterling will be my Tier 1 midfielder. Sterling is tied for fourth in the league with six goals. He's also tied for fourth in shots with 25 and ranks second in the league in xG (expected goals) according to TruMedia's model at 4.98, behind only Aguero (6.82).”

La Liga: “Another exciting team so far this season has been Sevilla, who are currently in sixth place. They're coming off a 4-0 loss at Barcelona, as mentioned above, but don't let that scoreline fool you. Sevilla actually outshot Barca 16-15 in that game, and topped them in terms of TruMedia's xG (expected goals) model 3.07 - 2.30.”

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