Michael Thomas for MVP?

Neil Greenberg makes Michael Thomas’ MVP case, in part by using TruMedia’s expected-points model…

“The Ravens have scored 28.2 more points than expected per 100 throws from (Lamar) Jackson, according to data from TruMedia. Baltimore has scored 17 more points than expected per 100 snaps when he rushes the ball.

By comparison, when (Christian) McCaffrey rushes the ball for Carolina, the Panthers score almost eight fewer points than expected per 100 carries. That’s not surprising; rushing in the modern NFL is not an efficient way to score.

Passes to (Michael) Thomas, on the other hand, are extremely lucrative. When New Orleans quarterbacks target him, the Saints are scoring almost 57 points more than expected per 100 throws. Think he has not been valuable to the Saints’ offense?”

Full article: The Washington Post