Top NFC records may be misleading

The NFC has five 10-win teams through 14 games, and the records may be deceiving for several of those teams, writes Neil Greenberg, with the help of TruMedia’s research tool and expected-points model:

“Looked at another way, opponents at or below .500 are scoring 8.4 fewer points per 100 snaps than expected against the Saints based on the down, distance and field position of each play, per data from TruMedia. Opponents with a winning record, on the other hand, have scored 15.4 more points than expected per 100 snaps against New Orleans in 2019. Only the defenses of the Miami Dolphins, Houston Texans and Oakland Raiders have performed worse against winning teams this season. That’s a warning sign entering the playoffs.”

Full article: The Washington Post