Take the Chiefs vs Houston's defense

In picking the Chiefs to cover against the Texans on Sunday, Neil Greenberg uses TruMedia’s research tool and EPA model:

“The Texans’ defense allowed 2.2 points per drive during the regular season (ranking 24th) and opponents scored a league-high 71 percent of the time against Houston inside the red zone. Houston’s opponents managed to score four more points per game than you would expect after taking into account the down, distance and field position of each play in 2019, per data from TruMedia. Only four non-playoff teams (Detroit Lions, Miami Dolphins, Oakland Raiders and Arizona Cardinals) were worse.”

Full article: The Washington Post