Neil Greenberg uses TruMedia’s NFL research tool to emphasize the NFC East’s struggles this season…
“In fact, this is the lowest win rate the NFC East has recorded at this point of the season since the league expanded to 32 teams and realigned to eight four-team divisions in 2002. It eclipses the 2015 mark of 15-22 (.405), per data from TruMedia.”
Full article: The Washington Post
Read MoreNeil Greenberg uses TruMedia’s research tool and models to identify the Redskins offensive woes under Bill Callahan…
“Just 42 of [Adrian Peterson’s] 115 carries (37 percent) have been successful this season, per data from TruMedia, with success defined differently based on down and distance. Among rushers with at least 100 carries, only Cincinnati’s Joe Mixon and Jacksonville’s Leonard Fournette have a lower success rate than Peterson.”
Full article: The Washington Post
Read MoreESPN’s Kieran Darcy uses TruMedia’s expected-goals model to warn fantasy players about Jamie Vardy’s hot start…
“Leicester's Jamie Vardy is the league leader in goals, with 10 in 11 games. That's pretty remarkable, given Vardy will turn 33 in January.
That being said, Vardy has scored those 10 goals on only 22 shots - so he's averaging just two shots per game. And in terms of xG (expected goals), according to TruMedia's model, Vardy is ranked only 17th in the league, at 4.17.”
Full article: ESPN.com
Read MoreIn his weekly start/sit column, The Washington Post’s Neil Greenberg uses TruMedia’s research tool and expected-points model to suggest starting the Giants defense this week…
“The Giants are a risky play most weeks but Sunday’s opponent, the cross-town New York Jets, are having a lot of difficulty on offense this season. The team is averaging less than a point per drive and has been forced to go three-and-out more than 47 percent of the time. Both are league lows. Over their past three games, Jets quarterbacks have been sacked 12 times and have thrown eight interceptions.
The Jets are also scoring 17 points per game fewer than expected after taking into account the down, distance and field position of each offensive play, per TruMedia. That’s the worst mark since 2002, the first year the league expanded to 32 teams.”
Full article: The Washington Post
Read MoreNeil Greenberg uses TruMedia’s expected-points model to recommend the Colts defense for your fantasy team this week…
“The Colts' defense is subpar in many ways, but this week's matchup against the Miami Dolphins is too good to pass up. The Dolphins are scoring just 1.2 points per drive (the third lowest this season) while being forced to go three-and-out on a third of their drives.
Miami is also scoring 12 points per game fewer than you would expect based on the down, distance and field position of each play run, per data from TruMedia, making them the second-worst performing offense of 2019. Only the New York Jets are worse.”
Full article: The Washington Post
Read MoreThe Washington Post’s Neil Greenberg uses TruMedia’s research tool and expected-points model to suggest that the Patriots secondary should be the league MVP…
“The Patriots have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 143 of 273 attempts (52 percent) for 1,190 yards, two touchdowns and 19 interceptions, earning those foes a 40.6 passer rating against, per data from TruMedia. For context, an incomplete pass earns a quarterback a 39.6 passer rating. Since 2002, the first year the league expanded to 32 teams, only the 2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers held opposing quarterbacks to a passer rating lower than 50 percent during the first eight weeks of the season, but that year the league average passer rating was 80.4, compared to an average passer rating of 92.0 in 2019. …
Plus, according to data from TruMedia, the Patriots are holding opponents to 36.3 fewer points than expected per 100 passing plays, after taking into account the down, distance and field position of each throw against them. That’s the best rate since 2002 and nearly 16 points per 100 snaps better than the next-best pass defense, the 2019 San Francisco 49ers.”
Full article: The Washington Post
Read MoreESPN’s Kieran Darcy uses TruMedia’s expected-goals model in support of choosing Neal Maupay for his fantasy team this week…
“This week, (Brighton’s Neal) Maupay will be at home against Norwich, who have conceded the second-most goals in the Premier League so far (24) and have the worst defensive record in the league in terms of xG (expected goals) conceded (according to TruMedia's model) at 23.57. Maupay will be my Tier 2 forward this week.”
Full article: ESPN.com
Read MoreThe Washington Post uses TruMedia’s research tool to suggest putting Kyler Murray on your fantasy bench this week, as Murray faces a tough 49ers defense…
“San Francisco’s … top-ranked pass rush should give Murray fits in the pocket. And that’s terrible news for the Cardinals, as Arizona’s points per drive drop from 2.3 to 0.8 on drives featuring at least one sack of Murray this season, per data from TruMedia.”
Full article: The Washington Post
Read MoreESPN’s Kieran Darcy uses TruMedia’s expected-goals model to temper fantasy expectations for Leicester City after the Foxes’ 9-0 win at Southampton on Friday…
“However, eight of those nine goals were scored after Southampton's Ryan Bertrand was sent off with a red card in the 12th minute. Leicester City's xG (expected goals) total, according to TruMedia's model, was only 4.90. While that's very high for a single game, it's still well below the total the team actually produced.”
Full article: ESPN.com
Read MoreESPN uses TruMedia’s research tool to emphasize Cristiano Ronaldo’s struggles on free kicks…
“According to TruMedia, Ronaldo has taken 29 free kicks for Juventus since he joined the club before the start of last season and failed to score with any of them. Seven were saved, two missed the target and a remarkable 18 went straight into the wall, with two making it past the wall after deflecting off it.”
Full article: ESPN.com
Read MoreESPN’s Kieran Darcy uses TruMedia’s expected-goals model to recommend avoiding Manchester City’s defense against Aston Villa this weekend…
“I won't be going with Ederson as my goalkeeper, despite Man City being such heavy favorites. Aston Villa has scored 15 goals in nine games and only four teams have scored more. The underlying numbers back that up. Villa sits fourth in xG (expected goals) according to TruMedia's model at 16.59, behind only Man City (29.78), Chelsea (19.41) and Liverpool (19.17). Plus, Man City has been shakier at the back than usual so far this season, already conceding nine goals. The team is only fifth-best in the league in xG conceded at 11.29.”
Full article: ESPN.com
Read MoreThe Washington Post’s Neil Greenberg uses TruMedia’s expected-points model as he emphasizes reasons to leave Marlon Mack on your fantasy bench…
“Marlon Mack has been inconsistent this year — he’s scored two touchdowns in the first three games but none since — and he doesn’t figure to get back on track against the top-rated Denver run defense.
The Broncos’ rush defense allows opposing backs to run for a successful play (positive expected points added) 33 percent of the time, per data from TruMedia, with a third-down conversion rate allowed that is significantly below average (39 percent for Denver compared to league average of 49 percent).”
Full article: The Washington Post
Read MoreTruMedia’s expected-goals model helps guide fantasy decisions in these ESPN.com articles:
Premier League: “Raheem Sterling will be my Tier 1 midfielder. Sterling is tied for fourth in the league with six goals. He's also tied for fourth in shots with 25 and ranks second in the league in xG (expected goals) according to TruMedia's model at 4.98, behind only Aguero (6.82).”
La Liga: “Another exciting team so far this season has been Sevilla, who are currently in sixth place. They're coming off a 4-0 loss at Barcelona, as mentioned above, but don't let that scoreline fool you. Sevilla actually outshot Barca 16-15 in that game, and topped them in terms of TruMedia's xG (expected goals) model 3.07 - 2.30.”
Read MoreThe Washington Post’s Neil Greenberg recommends benching Adrian Peterson on your fantasy team, as the Redskins face the heavily-favored 49ers on Sunday:
“When Peterson was a member of the Minnesota Vikings from 2007 to 2016, the team ran the ball 53% of the time when tied or leading their opponent, per data from TruMedia. That dropped to 36% of the time when trailing. Washington has run the ball 51% and 33% in those situations, respectively, during Peterson’s two-year tenure with the club.”
Full article: The Washington Post
Read MoreOklahoma State’s Chuba Hubbard of was picked for ESPN's mid-season All-America team by Chris Low and Mark Schlabach, with the help of TruMedia's research platform:
“It took FBS coaches a while to learn about Hubbard, but now they know all about the world-class sprinter from Alberta, Canada. He leads the FBS in rushing yards (1,094), carries (162) and rushing yards per game (182.3) and is second in rushing touchdowns (13). He's on pace to finish the season with 2,188 rushing yards, which would set a Big 12 record (OSU was in the Big Eight when Barry Sanders ran for 2,628 yards in 11 games in 1988) and would be the eighth-highest total in FBS history. According to TruMedia Networks, Hubbard has 594 yards before contact and 500 yards after contact, both No. 1 among FBS players.”
Full article: ESPN.com
Read MoreThe Washington Post’s Neil Greenberg uses TruMedia’s research tool and expected-points model to discover how good the 49ers defense has been this season:
“No team is forcing opponents to go three-and-out more often than San Francisco (48%). That, in turn, has given opponents less than 25 minutes of possession on average, the second-best mark in the NFL. Perhaps most impressively, San Francisco’s defense is allowing 33 points fewer per 100 snaps than we would expect given the down, distance and field position of each play against, per data from TruMedia. Since 2002, the first year the league expanded to 32 teams, only this year’s Patriots have saved more points over the first six weeks of a season (45 fewer points per 100 snaps).”
Full article: The Washington Post
Read MoreTruMedia was mentioned as the MLB industry standard in recent articles about Orioles and Pirates pitching staffs.
The Athletic: “All I have to do is go to TruMedia (Networks) or one of the other outlets that we have and say, ‘You see this? You’ve punched out 13 guys, you’ve had three put it in play, and they are all outs. You can absolutely abuse this pitch to both righties and lefties.’”
Pittsburgh Post-Gazette: “From my experience, they’re not an organization that’s just free rein, do what you want, here’s your TruMedia account, go look at whatever you want, because I think a lot of players would get in their own heads about it,” (Class AA pitcher) Beau Sulser said. “They kind of go on a person-by-person basis.”
Read MoreESPN’s Ryan O’Hanlon examines soccer’s best shooters, including Lionel Messi, using TruMedia’s research tool and graphics…
To determine the best shooters, we can compare xG to xGOT to see which players have added the most value to their attempts. Using TruMedia data for all domestic seasons going back to the start of the 2014-15 season, we'll identify the best at a number of shots and end by identifying the best shooter of them all. …
These are all of Messi's free kicks since 2014. Look how many ended up in the corners. Goals are green, and misses are red.
Full article: ESPN.com
Read MoreThe Washington Post’s Neil Greenberg writes on the Redskins rushing issues this season…
“With Derrius Guice injured, Washington’s primary rusher, Adrian Peterson, is having one of the worst rushing campaigns in the league. Peterson is averaging 2.7 yards per carry, with a success rate of 28 percent, success determined by whether a runner gets at least 45 percent of the yards needed for a first down on first down, at least 60 percent on second down or 100 percent of the yards needed for a first down on third or fourth down. Peterson ranks 35th of the 35 rushers who have at least 40 carries. The league average success rate this year for rushers with at least as many carries as Peterson is 44 percent, according to data from TruMedia.”
Full article: The Washington Post
Read More